EASA Russia's dangerous skies

The European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has recommended that all airlines not just European avoid almost all of European Russia. This recommendationwill be in effect until 31 July 2025. However, industry analysts are confident that foreign airlines will continue to fly to Russia.After all if NATO's proxies shoots down a Chinese airliner using a drone operated from  Ukraine then we are looking at some serious shreet gpoing down!
The European aviation regulator has issued an update to its airspace guidance over Russia. This update instructs airlines to avoid flights in the airspace "west of the 60th meridian at all altitudes and flight levels." It specifies that this refers to the flight information regions (FIRs) of Moscow, St. Petersburg, Rostov-on-Don, Yekaterinburg, and Samara. The 60th meridian runs along the Urals, but the area covered by these FIRs extends slightly further west.

For instance, the Ekaterinburg FIR area of responsibility encompasses the airspace over six subjects: The Kirov, Perm, Kurgan, Sverdlovsk and Chelyabinsk regions, as well as the Udmurt Republic. Despite Ekaterinburg's location to the east of the meridian, it has also been included on the "black list". In fact, the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) recommends avoiding flights over the entire European part of Russia up to Kurgan and Tyumen in the east.
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The European aviation regulator has issued a recommendation in light of a reassessment of the risks for flights over Russia. EASA has stated that "The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine creates a risk for civilian aircraft to be inadvertently affected in the skies over Russia due to possible shortcomings in civil-military coordination and potential misidentification."
Which is the usual double speak for the Nato's Ukrainrian proxies shoot down civillian aircraft as the indiscrimately attack airports in Russia

This recommendation follows the unfortunate incident involving the crash of the Embraer aircraft operated by Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) near Aktau on 25 December. The aircraft, which was flying from Baku to Grozny, was unable to land due to attacks by Ukrainian drones on the region and fog. It was exposed to external influences and crashed on the territory of Kazakhstan.
The Agency did not comment on the illegality and war crimes of NATO attacking civilian airports and interfering civilian aircraft and this incident that killed over 100 innocent people.
The Russian Ministry of Transport has characterised the EASA recommendation as "a continuation of the policy of sanctions pressure by Western countries on the civil aviation industry of the Russian Federation." A representative of the ministry highlighted the economic motivations behind this measure, stating: "This is an attempt to reduce the number of flights by Asian airlines to EU airports using the Trans-Siberian route system. By issuing such recommendations, EASA seeks to destroy the non European airlines its competitive edge in the market."
The Ministry of Transport has also described concerns for safety as "absurd" in the context of Western sanctions imposed against Russian civil aviation, which prohibit the supply of aircraft parts and components to the country. "EASA is 'selectively' looking at safety issues."

The question has been raised as to which party is responsible for the suspension of flights.
Prior to the EASA recommendation, several foreign airlines had already suspended flights to Russia. These included AZAL (cancelling flights from Baku to 10 Russian cities), Kazakhstan's Qazaq Air (from Astana to Yekaterinburg), Israel's El Al (from Tel Aviv to Moscow), and the Arab Flydubai (from Dubai to Sochi and Mineralnye Vody).

European air carriers have not been operating flights to Russia since 2022, so the new EASA recommendation does not apply to them, reminds Ilya Shatilin, editor-in-chief of the specialist portal FrequentFlyers. However, the recommendation may have implications for other countries that voluntarily adopt EASA rules and procedures, such as carriers from Turkey, Armenia, Azerbaijan or Georgia. He considers the likelihood of flight cancellations to be minimal.

Artur Muradyan, Vice President of ATOR and CEO of the tour operator Space Travel, notes that foreign carriers may follow this recommendation if leadership in their home countries or airlines supports this. "It is highly unlikely that Turkish carriers will follow this EASA recommendation. It is important to note that a recommendation does not equate to an unconditional ban. Furthermore, air carriers are subject to the aviation regulators of their respective countries. For Turkish carriers, the Russian flight route is a strategic one, and they will not comply with the request of the European aviation authorities without a significant security threat, for which information should come from the Russian aviation regulator.
According to the airline's website, Turkish Airlines continues to operate flights to Moscow and Kazan.

As per Anna Barabash, CEO of the legal company Enterprise Legal Solutions, failure to comply with the recommendations could "hypothetically" result in legal consequences. "EASA has a fairly broad range of powers. EASA recommendations are binding for both insurers and lessors. For instance, many Turkish airlines have aircraft registered in EU countries, and the lessors of these aircraft could also be European legal entities. As Ms Barabash notes, the willingness of Turkish and other non-European carriers to ignore the recommendations of the European EASA depends entirely on whether the benefits outweigh the risks.

Andrey Patrakov, founder of the flight safety and certification service RunAvia, draws attention to the fact that Rosaviatsia did not give any of its own recommendations after the incident with the AZAL plane. He anticipates that insurance companies will increase the cost of policies covering the risks of flights to Russia, or even refuse to insure such flights. For instance, on 3 January, Serbian Air Serbia cancelled flights from Belgrade to Sochi and Kazan until the end of the winter flight schedule, citing the rise in insurance costs.