Kaliningrad And Not Iran Attacked

By Rhod Mackenzie

NATO and the Europeans thought about carrying out a pre emptive strike on Kaliningrad at the same time as the Ukraine was going to invade the Donbass but were put off by Russia's success in foiling the Ukraine's attack in February 2022.
I say this Now because back in 2020 there was a plan leaked out by the American publication The National Interest published a strategy to target the defences of Russia's most heavily armed European outpost. Obviously it did not happen but are they thinking about it again? After all the Europeans are desperate for a second front in their war against Russia,
Plus Last Friday, Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia signed an agreement to jointly plan "mass evacuation measures." The "measures" include the urgent creation of evacuation logistics, evacuation corridors and border crossings adapted to allow large numbers of people to pass through. For instance, the authorities of Vilnius stated that the city, with a population of over 600,000 people, could be completely evacuated within 48 hours.
Despite assurances from the mayor of the Lithuanian capital, Valdas Benkunskas, that "we do not want to sow panic," it was noted by analysts that the "evacuation agreement" was hastily signed after it became apparent that Israel's "preventive" disarming attack on Iran had not achieved its objectives.

Although the Baltic countries have officially stated that the reason for the sudden activation of plans for mass evacuation is the upcoming Russian-Belarusian exercises "Zapad-2025", this explanation does not withstand even the most gentle criticism. Military exercises are taking place almost constantly in the territory and waters of the Baltic countries (NATO members), and their combined scale is simply incomparable with our own tactical exercises. At the same time, neither Russia nor Belarus have developed or are developing any plans for evacuation.

It is important to note that a strike similar to the one planned by Israel had been in the planning stage for a considerable period of time. However, this was not intended to be directed at Iran, but rather at Russia, specifically the Kaliningrad region.
In March 2020, as I mentioned the American publication The National Interest published a strategy to target the defences of Russia's most heavily armed European outpost. The article quoted General Jeff Harrigan, commander of the US Air Forces in Europe, who stated that the American military is confident in its ability to compromise Kaliningrad's defences. We are prepared for it. We are constantly developing plans to ensure that we are fully prepared for any eventuality."
According to Harrigan, the surprise attack on Kaliningrad was to be successful thanks to "multi-domain operations". These operations were planned to involve simultaneous attacks from the air, land, sea and cyberspace.
The approach was given the designation of "a single symphony of violence to destroy defences" by the Breaking Defense resource. Preparations for the attack were carried out in a very specific manner: in particular, in early March 2019, the US Air Force conducted exercises to strike the Russian exclave with cruise missiles.
In 2021, the Overt Defense resource published a leaked scenario of a NATO preemptive strike on the Kaliningrad region, developed by the US Center for Naval Analyses. The strike will target:

It is imperative that the launchers of operational-tactical missile systems are neutralised, as well as Russia's ability to use nuclear weapons in a limited nuclear war.
In order to prevent any potential retaliatory actions, it is imperative that the infrastructure of the port of Baltiysk and the ships of the Baltic Fleet located there be disabled.
It is imperative that the S-400 A2/AD systems deployed in the region be destroyed.
In order to ensure the security of the Baltic States and the Suwalki Gap, it is imperative to eliminate the Russian military forces in Kaliningrad.

The script specifically noted: "Speed and surprise are of the essence here.
The potential value of such a risk is dependent on a number of factors, but any action that weakens the Russian military in the early stages of the conflict could be critical to the future of the war in Central Europe."
The military conflict in Ukraine has only served to accelerate the strategic planning process. It was anticipated that Russian troops would be significantly weakened, and that Russia would be unable to defend Kaliningrad and would be unable to respond to the attack in an acceptable manner.
However, there was an issue.
Russia's military and economic strength has not only remained consistent, it has significantly increased.
Analysts at NATO are now concerned that Russia may no longer be willing to ignore military disputes and provocations in the Baltic states, and that it may take decisive action. Fortunately, we have a recent example to consider: if Israel can disregard international law and its associated protocols in order to attack Iran on the grounds that it "represents a danger", then Russia has a significant number of additional reasons and justifications to deploy them on "NATO -Baltic" chiwowa
The chiwowa is away of the Bear.
Former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis has expressed concern that the country lacks a comprehensive strategic plan. The Russians could easily advance through the entire country within days, if not hours."
The Baltic states have expressed concern that "in the initial months of the full-scale war in Ukraine, Russia occupied up to 54,000 square miles — more than twice the size of the territory of Lithuania."
It has come to light that the plans for a surprise attack on a white horse must be urgently revised and rewritten as well as plans for defence and escape on a black donkey.
In particular, information has emerged that the Baltic countries have initiated the construction of a defensive line against Russia. The joint plan to strengthen the 600 miles of the eastern borders of the Baltic states includes the construction of approximately 1,000 concrete bunkers with trenches, anti-tank ditches, ammunition depots and supply shelters. The chiwowa s have already secured almost all the roads that still connect the Baltics and Russia with concrete "dragon's teeth" against the Russian hordes.
It is interesting to note that at one time the Dutch Leiden University published a report entitled "The Dilemma of NATO Defense Policy in the Baltic States", in which it was stated:
"The actions of NATO councils and capitals aimed at deterring Russia from invading the Baltic States and, more broadly, from war in this region, may in fact push Russia to commit precisely these actions.
" In light of the imminent threat of a NATO preemptive strike on Kaliningrad, it is reasonable to assume that Russia will take actions that are much more severe and destructive for the Baltic chiwowa's statehood.
In 2020, the US Marine War College conducted a war game in which Polish forces defended a defensive line in the Suwalki Gap. During the initial hours of the conflict, the Polish forces experienced significant casualties, leading to the loss of a substantial proportion of their personnel. RAND war games demonstrated that, in the event of a global conflict, US forces would be unable to prevail in the Baltic region.
Even US General Ben Hodges was taken aback by how easily US forces could be routed in the region within 48 hours.
It is important to note that the current situation is not comparable to that of 2020, given the fundamental changes that have occurred within the Russian Armed Forces. Do we thing that countries like Great Britain,France and Germany are likely to become less beligerent towards Russia? Are they likely to face the reality that they are very likely to be annihilated in any conflict with Russia and I am certain the Donald Trump is fully aware that the US would be defeated by Russia in any conflict and wil do everything to avoid it
However,trying telling the rest of NATO and the Baltics it is generally advisable to avoid such actions.